Showing posts with label KOG. Show all posts
Showing posts with label KOG. Show all posts

Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Nat Gas

It's the mother lode. I'm not talking about the "volcano" BP unleashed in the Gulf. Natural Gas stocks are exploding today. My list of 40 are up a combined 2.45% and as a group they're now up more than 12% since Obama's clean energy talk nearly two weeks ago. This might be the best single-day gain (so far) I've seen with 39 of the 40 on my list in the green.

HERO is up more than 10%, CLNE, BRNC and KOG are up more than 5%. REXX and NGS up more than 4%. CLNE (Clean Energy) has gotten some nice pub on TV lately. I missed the boat on this move. Much as I like a few in this sector, I didn't take the ride even though nat gas is one of the few plays with some semblance of an edge in this environment.

The Notorious U.N.G. is up 1.6% to 8.69. Wow. Even Finerman on Fast Money said yesterday she opened a position.

Interesting that BP is actually up from its intraday low, trading at 31.90 (+4%).

Thursday, June 10, 2010

Nat Gas update: KOG

Kodiak Oil & Gas Corp.
Thursday, June 3, 2 pm Eastern: 3.19
Thursday, June 10, close: 3.34
Gain: +4.7%
Candlestick analysis: (American Bulls)
Summary: Flat margins and returns, tiny revs ($16 million), but this is a debt-free company. Rev growth was listed at 635%. 


Wednesday, June 9, 2010

Wimpy Wednesday

Dow Jones 9,899.25 -40.73 -0.41%
NASDAQ 2,158.85 -11.72 -0.54%
S&P 500 1,055.65 -6.35 -0.60%

Sure enough, the market turned shortly after mid-day and tanked. It was thin volume through the day in most stocks and ETFs, and the thin ice melted under pressure. People just selling into rallies, no surprise, though the bulls held the market up as long as they could.

I entered VXX late at 31.11, sold for a small loss at 30.80 and watched it climb up over 31 again. Re-entered before the bell at 31.33 and will probably hold overnight. The bulls had their chance and gave the ball back to the bears. Bernanke's positive comments about the state of the economy had a life span of about 2 hours before they dissipated into thin air. So we topped short term as I suspected.

Watching AAPL sink to 245, 244, 243 ... it's a quiet stretch now that iPhone G4 is out. The critics are having their say about the closed system. Par for the course. Euro, euro, euro. As long as there's a major issue in the global economy, AAPL gets hit indirectly sooner or later. Much as I love my Apple computers, so glad to be not married to the stock.

I mentioned earlier that one sign of a top is when broke-ass penny stocks like BBI (Blockbuster Video) are among the percentage leaders. BBI has $1 billion of debt. That's right, BBI is the crackhead of all retail, barely worth more than a quarter per share and carrying that kind of debt. Yet, BBI closed at 0.29, up 4.61%. Instead of limping through the finish line, shares finished fairly strong.

Another penny, HAUP, finished at 2.16, up 1.89% and off its high of 2.27.

Earlier, nat gas plays were en fuego with 38 of 39 on my list in the green. By the close, only 12 of the 39 were positive. KOG led with a 2.92% gain (3.17) and MMR finished up 2.06% at 10.42. UNG was close to the bottom with a 2.44% loss (7.98).

NFLX closed up 4.51% at 115.31, more than 2 bucks off its intraday high. This is one of the more sporadic stocks and I just can't get into it as long as the competition gets stronger and stronger. I supposed the same could be said of Apple, but Apple isn't a one-horse wagon.

Financials did OK until late in the day. C closed up 4.03% at 3.87, but GS dropped 0.71% to 136.80 and FAS finished -2.04% to 20.64. FAZ closed up 2.17% at 16.91. Haven't traded FAZ or any finnies in ages.

STD gave up most of its gains and closed at 8.99 (+0.45%).

GLD (-0.37%), TLT (-0.11%), UUP (-0.39%) were flat. Euro finished up (FXE +0.34%) just slightly. Unusual combination, but overall these issues were flat.

BP closed near its low at 29.20 (-15.8%) after a horrendous loss today. BIDU (-4.38%), IMAX (-4.02%) and AAPL (-2.59%) also lost chunks of market cap today. F (11.05, -1.52%) and GOOG (474.34 -2.15%) also casualties despite their recent good news.

Getting toppy already?

Another awesome night of rest. 6:58 am Hawaii time and the markets are flush with green gold. DJ up 93, Nas +27 and S&P +11 with 3 hours left in today's session. Nas is up 1.26% after lagging yesterday. Yesterday's strong finish was a tell for Nas, but I didn't really care. I slept nice, still 100% cash.

The Nat Gas sector is on fire. My list of 39 has 38 issues in the green. That's quite positive for the time being. BEXP (+6.80%), PQ (+6.62%), KOG (+6.56%) and MMR (+6.19) lead after a couple of down days for the sector. Natural profit-taking before another run, probably.

UNG is the lone red bleeder (-1.59%) at 8.05. It's reverted back to its form in pre-Obama Clean Energy speech times. Huge selling today.

Nat gas is up, but so is oil. USO is up 3.04% despite BP dropping a whopping 8.87%. Much of that, as well as the market's surge up, came on Bernanke's bullish speech. BP trading at 31.75 now.

US Steel rallying again, up 3.5% to 42.79. FCX up 2.05%, though its off its highs. FXI up 1.83% (39.52).

Positive on those fronts, plus financials are up. C (+3.43% to 3.87), GS up fractionally to 138.19 (a steal?) and Spanish conquistador STD is up 2.79% to 9.20. C has been a smart buy below 3.60 for the past year. STD dipped momentarily below 9 today. Both tempt me.

Dollar down (UUP -0.65%, 34.16) and Euro up (FXE +0.65%, 119.91). We may be topping a bit here if the tiny caps are any indication. BBI is up 2.27% to 0.29 and HAUP is +3.30% to 2.19. BBI (Blockbuster Video) is likely going to file for bankruptcy and trades primarily as a lottery ticket. How quickly the market turns stupid again.

Photo: Denise Milani (no website)

Thursday, June 3, 2010

Natty Gasser: KOG

Kodiak Oil & Gas Corp.
Profit margin: 0.28%
Operating margin: -0.08%
Return on Assets: -0.01%
Return on Equity: 0.09%
Revenue: 16.22M
Quarterly Revenue Growth (yoy): 635.60%
Quarterly Earnings Growth (yoy): n/a
Total Cash: 10.57M
Total Debt: 0.00
Shares Outstanding: 119.27M
Float: 113.94M
% held by Insiders: 9.36%
% held by Institutions: 35.40%
CEO: James Catlin, n/a
Candlestick analysis: "Hold" after buy at 2.99 on May 25 (American Bulls)