Showing posts with label XTO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label XTO. Show all posts

Friday, June 11, 2010

Nat Gas update: XTO

XTO Energy Inc.
Thursday, June 3, 2 pm Eastern: 42.35
Friday, June 11, close: 43.77
Gain: +3.35%
Candlestick analysis: "Wait" (American Bulls)
Summary: Really, should XTO be one of the laggards in this rally? Margins have been stellar — 21% profit, 39% operating. Returns positive. Revenues of $8.9 billion! But total cash is a mere $33 million and debt is massive ($10.2 billion). Plus, even with the strong numbers, year-over-year growth was negative. With top execs pulling in $2.82 million to $7.52 million each, it doesn't seem like XTO is making shareholders happy at all. 


Tuesday, June 8, 2010

Good Dow, Everything else Blah

7:08 am in Hawaii and I'm finally up. Going 35 or 40 hours without shuteye (not a problem) had me due for a good night's rest. Having no positions definitely helps.

Glad I was out of UNG in afterhours yesterday. Took a small, small loss and missed a late run to 8.49, but UNG is now 8.14. That would've hurt, even with a small lot. Nat Gas is down overall today as traders take their profits. MMR has held up well (+3.7%, 10.09). WPRT (+2.45%, 16.70) and XTO (+2.2%, 42.79) are among the natty gassers in positive territory today. UNG is near the bottom of the list with a 3.21% loss.

VXX, which I departed at 32.53 with a small profit, is now 31.99. Something really unusual occurred in the past hour: both AAPL and VXX were flat, and even when AAPL dipped a buck to 249, VXX remained almost entirely flat. It's rare that they trade in the same direction, even if it's flat, for an entire hour.

They have diverged in the past 15 minutes, but it has more to do with rotation and outflows than anything else. Money's moving to conservative sectors or staying off the field entirely. Volume is thin and there's no conviction on either side.

Dick Bove cut his estimates on JP Morgan, but C is up (+1.24%, 3.69). GS is down again (-1.91%, 136.03). BP is down huge (-5.5%, 34.73), but inverse oil ETNs like SCO (-2.65%, 16.16) and DTO (-2.25% 80.83) aren't doing much better. BP is clearly on Obama's shit list, as today's TV interview by NBC demonstrated. For awhile SCO and DTO worked fine, but other oil plays have picked up nicely after being dragged into the bottom of the Gulf by BP. The BP shorts are laughing all the way to the bank.

GLD is up fractionally while SLV is up 1.63% (18.09).

Friday, June 4, 2010

Nat Gas is the safe play?

Oddly enough. CHK and UPL now up 2.2%, while UNG remains strong (+1.1%) and FCG has emerged with a 1.5% gain today. Even IEO (1.0%) and PXJ (1.0%) have gone into the green.

DIG and XTO are both down, however. Very interesting so far. May re-enter UNG or open a position in CHK. Cramer's tout, WPRT, is up 1.96% to 17.69.

AAPL showing strength (261.43).

Dow Jones is -159, NAS -25 and S&P -14.91.

Thursday, June 3, 2010

Natty Gasser: XTO

XTO Energy Inc.
Profit margin: 20.92%
Operating margin: 38.88%
Return on Assets: 5.87%
Return on Equity: 10.40%
Revenue: 8.90B
Quarterly Revenue Growth (yoy): -7.40%
Quarterly Earnings Growth (yoy): -32.10%
Total Cash: 33.00M
Total Debt: 10.20B
Shares Outstanding: 584.36M
Float: 568.12M
% held by Insiders: 2.64%
% held by Institutions: 80.80%
CEO: Keith Hutton, 12.52M
President: Vaughn Vennerberg II, 7.52M
Chairman: Bob Simpson, 3.60M
Executive VP: Timothy Petrus, 2.82M
Candlestick analysis: "Wait" (American Bulls)

Nat Gas for Obama

Natural gas stocks are up since 2 pm Eastern Wednesday, when President Obama proclaimed the unofficial start to seriously developing "clean energy." It sounded like it, anyway. There's a lot of homework to be done here, but here's what I'm watching:

CHK (23.62): Chesapeake Energy, up 3.3% since Obama's speech, is a pure nat gas play (no oil) and is a favorite of Jim Cramer.

DIG (28.56): ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas, up 3.9%, "corresponds to twice the daily performance of the Dow Jones US Oil & Gas Index," according to the profile page on Yahoo.

FCG (16.90): First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index is up 3.7% and barely moves intraday. Average volume is 906k.

IEO (51.96): iShares Dow Jones US Oil & Gas Index is up 2.7%, but is another light trader (599k avg volume).

PXJ (14.68): PowerShares Dynamic Oil & Gas Services is up 2.3% and is the most thinly traded on this list (87k avg).

UNG (7.75): United States Natural Gas Fund is up 3.6%, taking new recent highs today with huge volume beginning at 10:31 am Eastern. Easily one of the most liquid on this list with average volume at 27.6 million shares per day.

UPL (50.78): Ultra Petroleum is up 3.1%, slightly better than CHK. Question is, what makes CHK a better stock and/or company?

XOP (41.77): SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select tracks the index of the (almost) same name. Shares are up 2.0%.

XTO Energy (43.35): Up 2.0%.

No feel for nat gas, but that may change with some homework. Some images about nat gas, and an interesting video of Harvard students questioning Chesapeake Energy CEO Aubrey McClendon.