Wednesday, January 9, 2008

Ins and Outs

Thanks to this Pupule portfolio (faux), I can take my mind off the dwindling value of my real portfolio. Here's goes a look at the Top 25 and where each stock stands relative to its simple moving averages.

Yesterday, 20 of the 25 were below their 50-day SMA. Today, all but two are below the 50-day. Scary and amazing.

1. AAPL 171.25 -6.39 (-3.6%) | 50-day SMA: 182.87 | 100-day SMA: 166.03
Apple will lead the rally.
2. GOOG 631.38 -17.57 (-2.7%) | 50-day SMA: 683.51 | 100-day SMA: 623.97
Do we see Google at 600? I thought it was long gone in the rear-view mirror.
3. RIMM 96.44 -3.39 (-3.4%) | 50-day SMA: 111.89 | 100-day SMA: 103.71 | 200-day SMA: 80.70
The way RIMM has been manipulated, I'm starting to wonder if the brokers and financials in general are totally pulling the carpet out from all us retail investors every chance they can. It started last year and seems to be a pattern of absolute craziness.
4. ISRG 271.73 -28.25 (-9.4%) | 50-day SMA: 312.45 | 100-day SMA: 273.27 | 200-day SMA: 210.71
Intuitive Surgical below its 100-day SMA? Now that's a shocker.
5. NTDOY.PK n/a
6. POT 137.91 -1.50 (-1.1%) | 50-day SMA: 124.64
Amazing. One of the few stocks that still isn't cheap yet.
7. CHL 84.39 -0.83 (-0.9%) | 50-day SMA: 89.29 | 100-day SMA: 82.47
China Mobile holding steady.
8. PTR 175.30 -1.85 (-1.0%) | 50-day SMA: 196.45 | 100-day SMA: 185.65 | 200-day SMA: 158.40
China and oil are married. No, they're joined at the hip. They have more money, they want their cars and they're going to drive them.
9. FSLR 230.50 -6.34 (-2.7%) | 50-day SMA: 218.95
Good night. First Solar is still not cheap. Holy crud.
10. MCD 57.08 -0.95 (-1.6%) | 50-day SMA: 58.66 | 100-day SMA: 55.37
The most successful restaurant chain in the world today. Can it hold support at 57?

11. STP 75.10 +0.14 (+0.2%) | 50-day SMA: 72.58
Nope. Not cheap. China solar play still pricey.
12. CMG 117.87 -6.11 (-4.9%) | 50-day SMA: 135.56 | 100-day SMA: 124.52 | 200-day SMA: 102.56
The most successfully growing restaurant chain in America. Too bad they don't have international exposure.
13. BIDU 345.21 +0.90 (+0.2%) | 50-day SMA: 367.88 | 100-day SMA: 317.12
Only China could produce a search engine that would dare challenge Google. Just the oddest possibility here that Baidu might actually win. Somehow. You know what I mean. It's China. They seriously want to win.
14. FWLT 143.49 -6.45 (-4.3%) | 50-day SMA: 150.46 | 100-day SMA: 139.09
Infrastructure rules. But don't buy here unless it's a small piece.
15. FLS 90.45 -0.05 (-0.1%) | 50-day SMA: 92.22 | 100-day SMA: 83.34
Another solid company that will triumph regardless of the economy.
16. FMCN 56.21 +0.07 (+0.12) | 50-day SMA: 57.00 | 100-day SMA: 53.18
China stocks mostly holding down the fort right now.
17. GS 189.50 -5.23 (-2.7%) | 50-day SMA: 217.45 | 100-day SMA: 210.00 | 200-day SMA: 212.03
The floor could be 160. These guys are the warlord emperors of financials. We will never know if and when they are actually struggling.
18. NKE 61.83 -0.28 (-0.4%) | 50-day SMA: 64.00 | 100-day SMA: 61.02
I wear these. Always have. Other shoes give my feet problems. But more than that, Nike will rule China. Their feet, at least. Nike doesn't like to lose. Ever.
19. CEO 166.97 -4.30 (-2.5%) | 50-day SMA: 175.69 | 100-day SMA: 161.25
Like PTR, CNOOC is holding its ground here.
20. VMW 74.50 +1.51 (+2.0%) | 50-day SMA: 92.14 | 100-day SMA: 87.43
Crappy market, but VMware rises. How?

21. LULU 36.93 -1.52 -3.9%) | 50-day SMA: 43.31 | 100-day SMA: 42.12
lululemon athletica had great earnings last quarter, but is the street really this bearish on their next earnings report?
22. MSFT 33.45 -1.16 (-3.3%) | 50-day SMA: 34.75 | 100-day SMA: 31.98
Not a big fan of Microsoft products, but the stock has quite a range.
23. AMZN 87.88 -0.94 (-1.0%) | 50-day SMA: 87.81 | 100-day SMA: 87.50
If the economy really is sliding, does that mean more people buy stuff online (no tax) at Amazon?
24. EBAY 30.01 -0.43 (-1.4%) | 50-day SMA: 33.29 | 100-day SMA: 35.10 | 200-day SMA: 34.19
Still waiting to see the rationale behind selling the leading online auction site in the face of a recession.
25. LFC 72.50 -1.30 (-1.7%) | 50-day SMA: 82.92 | 100-day SMA: 82.01 | 200-day SMA: 66.75
Like RIMM, China Life Insurance has fallen through previous support. Net key support at 68.

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