Saturday, June 5, 2010

GLD: Golden trade

SPDR Gold Trust ETF

The investment seeks to replicate the performance, net of expenses, of the price of gold bullion. The trust holds gold, and is expected to issue baskets in exchange for deposits of gold, and to distribute gold in connection with redemption of baskets. The gold held by the trust will only be sold on an as-needed basis to pay trust expenses, in the event the trust terminates and liquidates its assets, or as otherwise required by law or regulation.

Candlestick Analysis: "Buy If" (American Bulls). Currently in a Bullish Engulfing Pattern. 

Summary: The numbers and charts don't lie. Gold and GLD outperformed the general market for the past five years, and now that it has status as a premier currency, that trend is unlikely to change. For the first time, I'm really thinking about going long GLD, a small position as a safe harbor. 

GLD 3-year chart (monthly)

GLD traded down with the rest of the market in early 2009. Recently, it has traded apart from most stocks.

GLD 5-year vs. Euro (FXE), Dollar (UUP), S&P 500 (SPY)

Currencies have been no match for GLD over the years. The first decoupling came in late 2007. 

GLD vs. FXE, UUP, S&P 500, 6-month chart (daily)

The Dollar has outperformed in the past six months as the Euro sinks. Gold has been relatively steady while the S&P dropped in the past two months. 

GLD vs. FXE, UUP, SPY, 5-day chart (15-minute)

GLD vs. FXE, UUP, SPY, 2-day chart (5-minute)

The past two days were especially rotten for the Euro and S&P. 

No comments: