Mo'ili'ili Quarry: Monday cinema & library (updated 10 pm HST)

Monday, August 15, 2011

Monday cinema & library (updated 10 pm HST)

11:04 am (Hawaii) Seems to be a change in the currents, how gold and silver traded up while the market was also bullish. Seeing miners in green with the market is common. SIL (Silver miners ETF) is up 5.2%. But the PM spot prices don't usually go up with the indices. My take is that some hedge funds are betting on more Euro printing with a "good" meeting tomorrow (France and Germany). Some funds are betting on more Euro printing with a "bad" meeting tomorrow, say if Germany tells France, "FU and your stupid banks for being greedy and gambling on toxic US vomit derivatives!"

Really, that could happen. I have my little handful of DGP shares and that's enough. They keep printing paper currency, I'll keep exchanging my monopoly money for metal.

If, as Brother Turd Ferguson surmises, silver does run to 44 by Labor Day (three weeks from now), AGQ could run from the current 210 (yikes, it was 208 a few minutes ago!) to near 300. When silver as 49 in the spring, AGQ reached 382. I've mentioned a few times that a run for AGQ from 220 to 382 is a 74% gain, while silver from 40 to 50 is only 25%. Can't know if the ratio will hold in a silver run; I tend to think not so much since far fewer buyers are extending themselves precariously on margin. But it is a question: better to ride AGQ for any sustained run, then buy more metal at a higher price? (Or wait for a pullback then?) Or just ride physical metal for the long term and forget the paper game?

I'm doing a little of both. There's always something to facts, numbers and history.

Update 11:44 am (Hawaii) Per CNBC, Steve Cohen has a call position of $628 million in GLD and ups his AAPL stake to to 598k shares from 255k shares. David Einhorn also announced an increase in his AAPL position.

DGP now 63.72 and AAPL up to 383.84 on the news.

Blogs

(new) Turd Ferguson: (pm) Three overnight items (Aug 15)

> Charts: Hourly Dec gold | Hourly Sept silver

(new) MoneyBags73: The US dollar's 40 years of faith are in their death throes! (Aug 15)

(new) Jake Gint: The real reason Nixon should have been impeached (Aug 15)

(new) Le Fly: Greetings from an undisclosed island (Aug 15)

(new) Scott Blier: Trepidation... (Aug 15)

King World News: James Turk: A gold breakout above $1,810 could come any time (Aug 15)

King World News: Jim Rickards: US will revalue gold to $7,000 (Aug 15)

Turd Ferguson: (am) Happy Anniversary (Aug 15)

> Charts: Hourly Dec gold | Hourly Sept silver

George Maniere: The global meltdown of confidence (Aug 15)

Gary North: Gold standard or Nixon standard (Aug 15)

Brandon Smith: Breaking the silver manipulation barrier (Aug 15)

Sean Corrigan: What's future is prologue: Second French Revolution coming (Aug 14)

John Mauldin: US long winding road to debt crisis ends with bang (Aug 14)

Lone Ranger Silver: Living through a currency devaluation (June 20)

> Worth another read

Vlogs

(new) bigdad06: There is no substitute! (Aug 15)

(new) bullorbearreport: Inflation investing, bull is back!!?? (Aug 15)

silverfuturist: Don't use credit to buy silver, gold (Aug 15)

Christopher Greene: Opting out: How millions will accelerate the collapse (Aug 15)

Christopher Greene: Without leverage, the whole system collapses (Aug 15)

Hit the Bid: Monday, Monday, ba da, ba da da (Aug 15)

ScrapGoldBusiness: Weekly gold and silver report, part 1 - The hard reality (Aug 15)

endlessmountain: The Silver Log (Aug 15)

Pastor Dowell: Peaceful revolution (Aug 15)

Realist News: Homeless people scared to ask for food, money near police (Aug 14)

Realist News: First stage of food stamp riots being set (Aug 14)

SGTbull07: Future of gold, silver, miners: Tekoa Da Silva (part 1) (part 2) (Aug 13)

Audio

(new) Time Monk Radio: Clif High (Aug 15)

Jim Puplava: Entering the second stage of financial repression (Aug 15)

King World News: Jim Rickards (Aug 15)

King World News: Weekly metals wrap (Aug 13)

King World News: Stephen Leeb (Aug 13)

King World News: John Embry (Aug 13)

Blog commentary

ScottJ: Hourly silver ... what time to be alive (Aug 15)

Reports

Dave Fry: Corporate M&A v. Dreadful economic data (Aug 15)

MarketWatch: Gold-standard debate back, 40 years after Nixon (Aug 15)

Hugo Salinas Price: Dorothy's silver shoes or remonetization of silver currency (Aug 6)

> Price's speech at GATA conference

Video

CNBC: Return to the gold standard? (Aug 15)

Reuters: 40 years after Bretton Woods, gold shines on (Aug 15)

Journeyman Pictures: No Refuge - Greece (Aug 15)

CNN: Paul Krugman: Fake alien invasion would improve economy (Aug 14)

CNN: Marc Faber (Aug 12)

Nixon: Ending the Bretton Woods international monetary system (Aug 15 1971)

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Disclosure in a Box: 2012

Disclosure in a box: 2011

01/14 bot AAPL 345.67 | 01/19 sold 340.88, 340.15
01/24 bot AAPL 335.34 | 01/27 sold 343.32
01/28 bot VXX 32.11 | sold 31.57
02/02 bot VXX 30.55 | 02/03 sold 29.88
02/08 bot AAPL 351.82 | 02/10 sold 358.70
02/16 bot AAPL 363.33 | 02/16 sold 360.50
02/18 bot SLV 31.35 31.56 | 02/22 sold 32.40
03/01 bot SLW 43.21 | 03/01 sold 43.16
03/01 bot SLW 43.63 | 03/02 sold 43.10
03/11 bot AAPL 352.59 | sold 352.79
03/16 bot EXK 8.75 | sold 8.55
03/16 bot TVIX 59.99 | sold 59.51
03/24 bot AAPL 346.75 | 03/25 sold 350.65
04/13 bot WNR 17.75 | sold 17.65
04/13 bot WNR 17.85 | 04/18 sold 17.15
04/15 bot SLV 41.60 | 04/18 sold 41.70
04/19 bot SLV 42.57 | sold 43.07
04/19 bot SLV 43.04 | 04/20 sold 43.67
04/20 bot SLV 43.93 | sold 43.85
04/20 bot SLV 43.95 | sold 44.01
04/21 bot SLV 45.70 | 04/25 sold 46.70
04/27 bot SLV 44.75 | 04/28 sold 46.75
04/28 bot GLD 149.69 | 05/02 sold 150.38
04/29 bot AGQ 373.44 | sold 369.44
04/29 bot DGP 50.63 | sold 50.76
05/06 bot AGQ 196 | sold 189.87
05/06 bot EXK 9.73 | sold 9.52
05/06 bot GPL 3.45 | sold 3.34
05/06 bot XG 9.58 | sold 9.49
05/09 bot AGQ 203.11 | sold 201.83
05/09 bot AGQ 206.11 | sold 205.21
05/09 bot AGQ 206.11 | sold 205.66
05/09 bot AGQ 209.81 | sold 219.33
05/09 bot UCO 51.40 | sold 51.05
05/10 bot AGQ 223.99 | sold 222.90
05/10 bot SCO 43.80 | sold 42.80
05/11 bot ZSL 21.45 | sold 21.20
05/11 bot ZSL 21.50 | sold 21.60
05/12 bot ZSL 21.76 | sold 21.79
05/12 bot ZSL 21.88 | sold 21.80
05/16 bot ZSL 21.39 | sold 21.46
05/17 bot ZSL 21.81 | sold 21.63
05/17 bot ZSL 21.99 | sold 21.71
05/18 bot AGQ 172.33 | sold 171.61
05/23 bot XG 10.73 | 05/26 sold 10.48
05/24 bot EXK 9.37 | 05/26 sold 9.48
05/25 bot AGQ 195.00 | 05/26 sold 191.48
05/27 bot DGP 48.96 | 08/22 sold 63.25
05/27 bot XG 10.67 | sold 05/31 11.79
06/01 bot OWW 3.34 | 06/08 sold 2.35
06/02 bot FAZ 46.40 | sold 45.60
06/03 bot AGQ 179.68 | sold 178.77
06/03 bot AGQ 179.99 | sold 178.48
06/08 bot FAZ 50.73 | 06/09 sold 50.10
06/22 bot FAZ 48.28 | 06/23 sold 49.35
07/08 bot AGQ 184.79 | 07/11 sold 172.94
07/08 bot FAZ 43.33 | sold 43.03
07/08 bot XG 14.25 | 08/11 sold 11.80
07/13 bot AGQ 196.65 | 07/19 sold 205.00
07/15 bot GSVC 19.75 | 08/09 sold 12.19
07/22 bot GSVC 17.20 | 08/09 sold 12.19
07/27 bot ZSL 13.27 | 07/28 sold 13.51
07/29 bot GSVC 16.00 | 08/09 sold 12.19
07/29 bot ZSL 13.46 | 08/02 sold 13.23
08/05 bot FAZ 62.87 | sold 62.70
08/05 bot FAZ 63.55 | sold 62.70
08/08 bot FAZ 77.95 | sold 77.60
08/09 bot AAPL 375.45 | 08/10 sold 372.00
08/09 bot DGP 63.43 | 08/11 sold 63.25
08/09 bot FAZ 74.75 81.00 | sold 74.04
08/09 sold GSVC 12.19
08/10 bot FAZ 65.00 | sold 68.53
08/10 bot FAZ 68.00 | sold 68.90
08/10 bot FAZ 70.00 | sold 70.50
08/10 bot FAZ 70.80 | sold 70.65
08/10 bot FAZ 71.40 | sold 70.57
08/11 bot DZZ 4.96 | sold 4.88
08/12 bot FAZ 61.65 | sold 61.53
08/15 bot DGP 63.52 | 08/23 sold 68.57
08/16 bot DGP 64.75 | 08/23 sold 68.57
08/16 bot FAZ 59.00 | sold 58.40
08/19 bot FAZ 69.00 | sold 68.74
08/19 bot FAZ 69.35 | sold 68.40
08/25 bot DGP 63.63 | 08/26 sold 64.62
09/01 bot FAZ 54.50 | 09/02 sold 60.03
09/09 bot FAZ 63.90 | sold 63.50
09/14 bot FAZ 58.00 | 09/15 sold 56.35
09/21 bot FAZ 65.00 65.40 | 09/22 sold 71.14
09/23 bot FAZ 69.14 | 09/26 sold 65.75
09/26 (a) bot DGP 52.22 | 09/27 sold 55.00
09/26 (b) bot FAZ 67.50 | sold 66.12
09/27 bot FAZ 60.53 | 09/28 sold 59.41
09/28 (a) bot FAZ 60.80, 61.85 | sold 60.70
09/28 (b) bot FAZ 61.34 | sold 60.65
09/28 (c) bot FAZ 62.25 | sold 62.15
09/28 (d) bot FAZ 63.60, 65.00 | 09/29 sold 62.26
09/30 (a) bot FAZ 64.00, 64.40 | sold 63.70
09/30 (b) bot FAZ 64.00 | sold 63.50
09/30 (c) bot FAZ 64.60 | sold 63.87
09/30 (d) bot FAZ 64.50 | sold 66.00
10/04 (a) bot FAZ 76.00 | sold 75.60
10/04 (b) bot FAZ 75.00 | sold 75.19
10/04 (c) bot FAZ 76.00, 77.00, 79.00 | sold 78.50
10/04 (d) bot AAPL 372.68 | sold 371.75
10/05 (a) bot AAPL 379.00 | sold 377.30
10/05 (b) bot FAZ 67.99 | sold 67.25
10/05 (c) bot AAPL 379.00 | sold 377.50
10/05 (d) bot FAZ 65.18 | 10/06 sold 63.39
10/06 bot FAS 11.40 | sold 11.53
10/07 (a) bot 100 FAZ 63.30, 64.05 | sold 62.90
10/07 (b) bot FAZ 63.20 | 10/10 sold 60.10
10/10 (a) bot FAS 11.08 | sold 11.00
10/10 (b) bot FAS 11.09 | sold 11.33
10/10 (c) bot FAZ 54.84 | 10/11 sold 56.53
10/11 (a) bot FAS 12.00 | sold 11.91
10/11 (b) bot FAZ 54.92 | 10/12 sold 53.25
10/12 (a) bot FAS 12.31 | sold 12.23
10/12 (b) bot FAS 12.42 | sold 12.47
10/13 (a) bot FAZ 54.04 | sold 54.07
10/13 (b) bot FAZ 54.00 54.15 | sold 53.60
10/13 (c) bot FAZ 54.42 | 10/14 sold 52.50
10/14 (a) bot FAS 12.45 | sold 12.40
10/14 (b) bot FAZ 53.85 | sold 53.60
10/14 (c) bot AAPL 419.50 420.00 | sold 419.07
10/14 (d) bot FAS 12.40 | sold 12.20
10/17 (a) bot FAZ 56.00 | sold 56.08
10/17 (b) bot FAZ 56.35 | sold 56.55
10/18 bot FAS 12.99 | sold 12.68
10/25 (a) bot FAZ 44.70 | sold 43.96
10/25 (b) bo FAZ 44.80 | sold 44.96
10/25 (c) bot FAZ 45.33 | sold 45.64
YTD Grade: C-
YTD Net: -1%

Disclosure in a box: 2010

01/19 bot AAPL 214.40 | 05/11 sold 257.70
02/08 bot AAPL 196.25 | 02/11 sold 198.77
02/11 bot AAPL 199.20 | sold 200.80
02/16 bot AAPL 202.10 | 02/17 sold 202.37
02/18 bot F 11.40 | 02/25 sold 11.40
02/25 bot F 11.79 | 03/02 sold 12.40
03/02 bot F 12.55 | 03/03 sold F 12.70
03/05 bot F 12.91 | 03/08 sold 12.92
03/09 bot C 3.88 | 03/10 sold 3.96
03/09 bot F 12.86 | sold 12.80
03/10 bot C 4.07 | 3/11 sold 4.20
03/10 bot C 4.07 | 3/12 sold 4.07
03/17 bot C 4.10 | 03/26 sold 4.28
04/06 bot DNDN 40.40 | sold 39.55
04/07 bot C 4.33 | 04/15 sold 4.77
04/14 bot FNM 1.31 | 04/16 sold 1.21
04/20 bot C 4.95 | 04/20 sold 4.98
04/21 bot C 4.95 | 04/26 sold 4.61
04/28 bot BIDU 710.50 | 05/05 sold 678.00
04/28 bot IMAX 20.15, 20.40 | 05/10 sold 18.42
05/05 bot NBG 3.04 | 05/06 sold 2.66
05/06 bot VXX 27.40 | 05/07 sold 28.91
05/10 bot VXX 25.60 | sold 25.50
05/10 bot VXX 25.88 | sold 25.72
05/11 bot AAPL 259.65 | 05/13 sold 259.75
05/11 bot VXX 26.35 | sold 25.95
05/12 bot BIDU 76.05 | sold 77.65
05/12 bot VXX 25.83 | sold 24.54
05/13 bot FAZ 12.61 | sold 12.51
05/14 bot FAZ 13.96, 14.06 | sold 13.86
05/18 bot FAZ 14.76 | sold 14.99
05/18 bot FAZ 14.96 | 05/19 sold 15.32
05/20 bot FAZ 16.16 | 05/21 sold 16.95
05/20 bot VXX 32.01 32.28 33.22 | sold 32.50
05/20 bot VXX 33.02 | 05/21 sold 34.80
05/20 bot VXX 33.97 | sold 32.98
05/20 bot VXX 34.45 | sold 33.66
05/21 bot VXX 34.80 | sold 34.41
05/25 bot AAPL 245.09 | 05/26 sold 249.88
05/25 bot VXX 31.29 | 05/26 sold 30.60
05/26 bot VXX 31.45 | 05/27 sold 29.27
06/02 bot AAPL 263.77 | 06/03 sold AAPL 260.88
06/03 bot UNG 8.01 | 06/04 sold UNG 8.00
06/04 bot AAPL 255.30 | 06/07 sold 257.15
06/04 bot UNG 8.25 | 06/07 sold 8.02
06/07 bot UNG 8.41 | sold 8.38
06/07 bot VXX 32.30 | sold 32.53
06/09 bot VXX 31.11 | sold 30.80
06/09 bot VXX 31.33 | 06/10 sold 30.49
YTD +/-: +8% (incl. commissions)
YTD grade: C-

Disclosure in a Box: 2009

AAPL bot 123.74 | sold 124.33
AAPL bot 125.40 | sold 124.51
AAPL bot 95.75 | sold 106.75
AIG bot 1.61 | sold 0.97
ATVI bot 11.15 | sold 10.65
BAC bot 10.19 | sold 8.22
BAC bot 10.92 | sold 8.22
BAC bot 11.34 | sold 11.67 11.68 12.14
BAC bot 12.40 11.12 | sold 12.12 12.59 12.62
BAC bot 13.37 | sold 13.09
BAC bot 13.38 13.75 | sold 13.54
BAC bot 13.54 13.88 14.91 | sold 13.74 14.59 14.65
BAC bot 9.10 9.35 | sold 9.04 9.11 8.20 8.90
BAC bot 9.11 | sold 9.04
BAC bot 9.11 | sold 9.11
C bot 1.70 | sold 2.21
C bot 2.01 | sold 2.21
C bot 2.01 | sold 2.56
C bot 2.26 | sold 2.56
C bot 2.40 | sold 2.56
C bot 2.54 | sold 2.56
C bot 2.96 | sold 3.20
C bot 3.12 | sold 3.67
C bot 3.13 | sold 3.67
C bot 3.15 | sold 3.20
C bot 3.23 | sold 3.19
C bot 3.35 | sold 2.92
C bot 3.74 | sold 3.81
C bot 3.80 | sold 4.10
C bot 3.92 | sold 3.70
C bot 4.05 | sold 4.38
CROX bot 1.91 | sold 1.84
DNDN bot 21.55 22.25 | sold 21.55 20.25
DNDN bot 21.70 21.60 24.25 23.95 25.75 | sold 23.95 21.36 21.45
DNDN bot 21.95 | sold 21.81
DNDN bot 22.15 | sold 22.12
DNDN bot 22.15 | sold 22.47
DRYS bot 8.29 | sold 9.33
DRYS bot 8.34 | sold 8.28
EGLE bot 7.06 | sold 7.30
ETFC bot 1.54 | sold 1.39
F bot 5.18 | sold 5.11
F bot 5.24 | sold 5.11
FAS bot 7.19 | sold 7.34
FAS bot 8.06 | sold 8.06
FAS bot 8.20 | sold 8.00
FAS bot 8.23 | sold 8.33
FAS bot 8.25 | sold 8.25
FAZ bot 11.25 | sold 12.40
FAZ bot 11.67 | sold 12.40
FAZ bot 12.57 | sold 12.02
FIG bot 5.81 6.60 | sold 7.55 7.80
FIG bot 7.65 | sold 7.55 7.60
INTC bot 15.75 | sold 15.79
LVS bot 10.24 | sold 10.12
LVS bot 10.36 | sold 10.25
LVS bot 10.65 | sold 10.65
LVS bot 10.95 | sold 10.96
LVS bot 11.01 | sold 10.91
LVS bot 11.19 | sold 11.18
LVS bot 11.25 | sold 11.31
LVS bot 11.35 11.50 11.14 | sold 11.11
LVS bot 4.45 | sold 4.45
LVS bot 5.77 | sold 6.80
LVS bot 8.03 | 9.01
LVS bot 8.03 | sold 8.91
LVS bot 8.17 | sold 8.07
LVS bot 9.05 9.09 | sold 9.32
MGM bot 8.75 | sold 8.31
RIMM bot 72.58 | sold 73.10
RIMM bot 72.88 73.24 | sold 72.84 74.84 71.95
RIMM bot 75.95 76.33 | sold 76.92 76.09
RIMM bot 79.15 78.20 | sold 78.60 77.96
RIMM bot 79.97 81.16 | sold 79.91 81.96
RIMM bot 82.15 | sold 81.60
RIMM bot 82.48 | sold 82.00
STP bot 12.57 | sold 12.95
STP bot 12.70 | sold 12.95
WFC bot 13.75 15.58 | sold 14.70
WFC bot 13.75 | sold 15.70
WFC bot 15.55 | sold 15.70
WFC bot 18.93 19.30 | sold 19.12
WFC bot 18.93 | sold 19.12
WFC bot 19.30 | sold 19.12
XOMA bot 1.19 | sold 1.40 1.22
YTD: +6% (incl. commissions)

Ain't it true?

What I had to do was to find stocks that would be hoisted up because they stirred people's imagination for the future. ... I was not interested in the company's individual products, whether it was metals for rockets, solid fuel, or advanced electronic equipment. In fact, I did not want to know what they made—that information might only inhibit me. I did not care what the company's products were, any more than I was influenced by the fact that the board chairman had a beautiful wife. But I did want to know whether the company belonged to a new vigorous infant industry and whether it be haved in the market according to my requirements.

This, of course, was directly against the advice of many financial writers with conservative backgrounds who have been pounding into investors for generations that they must study company reports and balance sheets, find out all they can about a stock's background, in order to make a wise investment. I decided that was not for me. All a company report and balance sheet can tell you is the past and the present. They cannot tell the future. And it was for this I had to project my plans.

—Nicolas Darvas, 1959

Mo'ili'ili Quarry

Monday, August 15, 2011

Monday cinema & library (updated 10 pm HST)

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