Showing posts with label Nixon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Nixon. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Tuesday cinema & library (updated 9 pm HST)


Monday's gains on severely low volume were ominous, weren't they? Today, indices struggled in the red, down significantly on no real news from Sarkozy and Merkel, before rallying to pare more than half their losses.

The interesting indicator for me was increased volume in DGP. FAZ had similar volume to yesterday and fell from 59+ to 57+ during the late-day rally. DJ finished -76.97 (-0.7%) to 11,405.93. Nas down 31.75 (-1.2%) to 2,523.45. S&P 500 -11.73 (-1%) to 1,192.76.

My Regular watch list is 28% green, 70% red. AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, LULU, NFLX ... many momo stocks down. LULU down more than 7%.

The Metals list didn't fare much better, just 41% green, 59% red. Silver miners had been red-hot, but fell back today (SIL -1.3%). Could be a breather before a run higher again.

GSVC was up over 16 today before settling at 15.41 (now afterhours) for a 1.9% gain after releasing earnings info. Haven't touched this since selling at 12.10. In hindsight, I should've left that position alone and picked up more DGP as a psudo-hedge. (Oddly enough, though GDX and GDXJ are down today, XG is up moderately. Not going there, though.)

Between now and Jackson Hole (26th), there's no apparent catalyst. Since last week's series of crashes (and melt-ups), the market has been relatively calm. Maybe the downside has been priced in and too many traders are expecting an upside explosion similar to last year's fall and winter. If QE3 arrives and traders are as skeptical and cautious as I imagine they might be, it doesn't really matter to a physical gold owner. Few things bring peace of mind, but a crate full of gold bars would have to be one of them, right?

Blogs
Turd Ferguson: (pm) Feeling good, Louis! (Aug 16)
Turd Ferguson: (am) An interesting day awaits (Aug 16)
Bruce Krasting: Gold and Swiss National Bank (Aug 16)
Jeff Nielsen: Watch gold/silver/oil price ratios (Aug 15)

Vlogs
(new) Mike Maloney: Debt Collapse - The case for $20,000 gold (Aug 16)
libertarianrealist: Ben Bernanke's big lies + $500 silver (Aug 16)
silverfuturist: Possible meetup with Gerald Celente (Aug 16)
The Weekly Telegram: Update (Aug 16)
ScrapGoldBusiness: JP Morgan predicts $2,500 by Christmas (Aug 16)
Casey Research: Dollar is going over the edge (Aug 16)
Hit the Bid: Ron Paul 4 prez (Aug 16)
Even Keel Media: David Coffin (Aug 16)
BrotherJohnF: Short Age (Aug 15)
> Rockwell enters at 2:30
TheLordHumungus: Is it too late to buy gold and silver (Aug 15)

Audio
Al Korelin: Roger Wiegand (Aug 16)

Blog commentary

Reports
Business Insider: Sarkozy to tax financial transactions (Aug 16)
Business Insider: We are Japan (Aug 16)
Business Insider: Germany wants Spain, Italy to sell gold (Aug 9)

Video
(new) Fox: Peter Schiff (Aug 16)
Keiser Report: Banking looters (Aug 16)
Journeyman Pictures: Poetic Justice - Mexico (Aug 16)
The Young Turks: Ron Paul #2 in straw poll (Aug 15)
Journeyman Pictures: The Secret Garden - Bhutan (Aug 15)



Monday, August 15, 2011

Monday cinema & library (updated 10 pm HST)


11:04 am (Hawaii) Seems to be a change in the currents, how gold and silver traded up while the market was also bullish. Seeing miners in green with the market is common. SIL (Silver miners ETF) is up 5.2%. But the PM spot prices don't usually go up with the indices. My take is that some hedge funds are betting on more Euro printing with a "good" meeting tomorrow (France and Germany). Some funds are betting on more Euro printing with a "bad" meeting tomorrow, say if Germany tells France, "FU and your stupid banks for being greedy and gambling on toxic US vomit derivatives!"

Really, that could happen. I have my little handful of DGP shares and that's enough. They keep printing paper currency, I'll keep exchanging my monopoly money for metal.

If, as Brother Turd Ferguson surmises, silver does run to 44 by Labor Day (three weeks from now), AGQ could run from the current 210 (yikes, it was 208 a few minutes ago!) to near 300. When silver as 49 in the spring, AGQ reached 382. I've mentioned a few times that a run for AGQ from 220 to 382 is a 74% gain, while silver from 40 to 50 is only 25%. Can't know if the ratio will hold in a silver run; I tend to think not so much since far fewer buyers are extending themselves precariously on margin. But it is a question: better to ride AGQ for any sustained run, then buy more metal at a higher price? (Or wait for a pullback then?) Or just ride physical metal for the long term and forget the paper game?

I'm doing a little of both. There's always something to facts, numbers and history.

Update 11:44 am (Hawaii) Per CNBC, Steve Cohen has a call position of $628 million in GLD and ups his AAPL stake to to 598k shares from 255k shares. David Einhorn also announced an increase in his AAPL position.

DGP now 63.72 and AAPL up to 383.84 on the news.

Blogs
(new) Turd Ferguson: (pm) Three overnight items (Aug 15)
(new) Scott Blier: Trepidation... (Aug 15)
Turd Ferguson: (am) Happy Anniversary (Aug 15)
George Maniere: The global meltdown of confidence (Aug 15)
Gary North: Gold standard or Nixon standard (Aug 15)
Lone Ranger Silver: Living through a currency devaluation (June 20)
> Worth another read

Vlogs
(new) bigdad06: There is no substitute! (Aug 15)
(new) bullorbearreport: Inflation investing, bull is back!!?? (Aug 15)
silverfuturist: Don't use credit to buy silver, gold (Aug 15)
Hit the Bid: Monday, Monday, ba da, ba da da (Aug 15)
endlessmountain: The Silver Log (Aug 15)
Pastor Dowell: Peaceful revolution (Aug 15)
SGTbull07: Future of gold, silver, miners: Tekoa Da Silva (part 1) (part 2) (Aug 13)

Audio
(new) Time Monk Radio: Clif High (Aug 15)
King World News: Jim Rickards (Aug 15)
King World News: Weekly metals wrap (Aug 13)
King World News: Stephen Leeb (Aug 13)
King World News: John Embry (Aug 13)

Blog commentary

Reports
> Price's speech at GATA conference

Video
Reuters: 40 years after Bretton Woods, gold shines on (Aug 15)
Journeyman Pictures: No Refuge - Greece (Aug 15)
CNN: Paul Krugman: Fake alien invasion would improve economy (Aug 14)
CNN: Marc Faber (Aug 12)